Taiwan is likely to defeat a Chinese invasion if the United States comes to the island’s defence, a prominent think-tank says, but it warns that such a victory would come at “enormous” cost, including the loss of tens of thousands of lives and damage to Washington’s global position.The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) said in a report (PDF) released on Monday that the high costs strongly argue for avoiding war with China, and it urged the US and Taiwan to immediately strengthen military deterrence.“War with China would produce destruction on a scale unseen by the United States since 1945,” said Mark Cancian, a senior adviser at the CSIS, based in Washington, DC.
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